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Executive Summary
Analysis of AI energy consumption patterns reveals that inefficient usage creates significant but unequally distributed waste. While studies suggest 70-90% of emissions stem from correctable inefficiencies in specific use cases, the practical reduction potential varies dramatically by task type. Real-time applications, comprising 40-50% of enterprise AI usage, offer minimal optimization opportunities, while batch-processable tasks enable substantial improvements. The challenge lies not in eliminating all inefficiency—some apparent "waste" serves legitimate business purposes including quality assurance, risk mitigation, and creative exploration—but in distinguishing necessary resource use from genuine overconsumption. Evidence from PJM Interconnection shows capacity market prices increased over 1,000% due primarily to data center growth, translating to higher electricity bills for all consumers regardless of their AI usage. Organizations must balance energy efficiency against other critical metrics including output quality, response latency, development velocity, and cost predictability.
Introduction: A More Complex Reality
A major financial services firm recently discovered it was using GPT-4 for all customer service queries, including simple FAQs that smaller models could handle. The monthly energy audit revealed unnecessary consumption equivalent to powering 200 homes for a month. The obvious solution—implement intelligent model routing—seemed straightforward until they calculated the implementation cost: $800,000 in development, plus ongoing maintenance requiring three full-time engineers. For their $3M annual AI budget, maintaining the status quo was actually cheaper.
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U.S. energy strategist focused on the intersection of clean power, AI grid forecasting, and market economics. Ethan K. Marlow analyzes infrastructure stress points and the race toward 2050 decarbonization scenarios at the Terawatt Times Institute.
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